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    <title>第十章 项目进度管理</title>
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                    <span>10.1 管理基础</span>
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                        <span>项目进度计划的定义和总要求</span>
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                        <p>项目进度计划的定义和总要求内容待补充</p>
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                        <span>管理新实践</span>
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                        <p>管理新实践内容待补充</p>
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        <!-- 10.2 项目进度管理过程 -->
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                    <span>10.2 项目进度管理过程</span>
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                        <span>过程概述</span>
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                        <ul>
                            <li>规划进度管理</li>
                            <li>定义活动</li>
                            <li>排列活动顺序</li>
                            <li>估算活动持续时间</li>
                            <li>制定进度计划</li>
                            <li>控制进度</li>
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                        <span>裁剪考虑因素</span>
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                        <p>裁剪考虑因素内容待补充</p>
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                        <span>敏捷与适应方法</span>
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                        <p>在大型组织中，可能同时存在小规模项目和大规模项目的组合，需要制定长期路线图，通过规模参数（如团队规模、物理分布、法规合规性、组织复杂性和技术复杂性）来管理这些项目组合和项目集。为管理大规模的、全组织系统的、完整的交付生命周期，可能需要采用一系列技术，包括预测型方法、适应型方法或两种方法的混合。</p>
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                    <span>10.3 规划进度管理</span>
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                            <li>项目章程</li>
                            <li>项目管理计划</li>
                            <li>事业环境因素</li>
                            <li>组织过程资产</li>
                        </ul>
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                        <span>工具与技术</span>
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                            <li>专家判断</li>
                            <li>数据分析</li>
                            <li>会议</li>
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                        <span>输出</span>
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                        <p>进度管理计划内容待补充</p>
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        <!-- 10.4 定义活动 -->
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                    <span>10.4 定义活动</span>
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                            <li>项目管理计划</li>
                            <li>事业环境因素</li>
                            <li>组织过程资产</li>
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                        <span>工具与技术</span>
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                            <li>专家判断</li>
                            <li>分解</li>
                            <li>滚动式规划</li>
                            <li>会议</li>
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                            <li>活动清单</li>
                            <li>活动属性</li>
                            <li>里程碑清单</li>
                            <li>变更请求</li>
                            <li>项目管理计划（更新）</li>
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        <!-- 10.5 排列活动顺序 -->
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                    <span>10.5 排列活动顺序</span>
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                            <li>项目管理计划</li>
                            <li>项目文件</li>
                            <li>事业环境因素</li>
                            <li>组织过程资产</li>
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                        <span>工具与技术</span>
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                            <li>紧前关系绘图法</li>
                            <li>箭线图法</li>
                            <li>确定和整合依赖关系</li>
                            <li>提前量和滞后量</li>
                            <li>项目管理信息系统</li>
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                        <span>输出</span>
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                            <li>项目进度网络图</li>
                            <li>项目文件更新</li>
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                    <span>10.6 估算活动持续时间</span>
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                        <span>输入</span>
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                            <li>项目管理计划</li>
                            <li>项目文件</li>
                            <li>事业环境因素</li>
                            <li>组织过程资产</li>
                        </ul>
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                        <span>工具与技术</span>
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                            <li>专家判断</li>
                            <li>类比估算</li>
                            <li>参数估算</li>
                            <li>三点估算</li>
                            <li>自下而上估算</li>
                            <li>数据分析</li>
                            <li>决策</li>
                            <li>会议</li>
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                        <span>输出</span>
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                            <li>持续时间估算</li>
                            <li>估算依据</li>
                            <li>项目文件（更新）</li>
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        <!-- 10.7 制定进度计划 -->
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                    <span>10.7 制定进度计划</span>
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                            <li>项目管理计划</li>
                            <li>项目文件</li>
                            <li>协议</li>
                            <li>事业环境因素</li>
                            <li>组织过程资产</li>
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                        <span>工具与技术</span>
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                            <li>进度网络分析</li>
                            <li>关键路径法</li>
                            <li>资源优化</li>
                            <li>数据分析</li>
                            <li>提前量和滞后量</li>
                            <li>进度压缩</li>
                            <li>计划评审技术</li>
                            <li>项目管理信息系统</li>
                            <li>敏捷或适应型发布规划</li>
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                        <span>输出</span>
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                            <li>进度基准</li>
                            <li>项目进度计划</li>
                            <li>进度数据</li>
                            <li>项目日历</li>
                            <li>变更请求</li>
                            <li>项目管理计划（更新）</li>
                            <li>项目文件（更新）</li>
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        <!-- 10.8 控制进度 -->
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                    <span>10.8 控制进度</span>
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                            <li>项目管理计划</li>
                            <li>项目文件</li>
                            <li>工作绩效数据</li>
                            <li>组织过程资产</li>
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                        <span>工具与技术</span>
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                            <li>数据分析</li>
                            <li>关键路径法</li>
                            <li>项目管理信息系统</li>
                            <li>资源优化</li>
                            <li>提前量和滞后量</li>
                            <li>进度压缩</li>
                        </ul>
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                        <span>输出</span>
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                            <li>工作绩效信息</li>
                            <li>进度预测</li>
                            <li>变更请求</li>
                            <li>项目管理计划（更新）</li>
                            <li>项目文件（更新）</li>
                        </ul>
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        <!-- 补充 -->
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                        <span>缩短活动工期的办法</span>
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                            <li>赶工</li>
                            <li>快速跟进</li>
                            <li>使用高素质的资源或经验更丰富的人员</li>
                            <li>减小活动范围或降低活动要求</li>
                            <li>改进方法或技术，以提高生产效率</li>
                            <li>加强质量管理，及时发现问题，减少返工，从而缩短工期</li>
                        </ol>
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                        <span>关键路径法与关键链法</span>
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                        <p><strong>关键路径法</strong>：用于在进度模型中估算项目的最短工期，确定逻辑网络路径的进度灵活性。关键路径法有两个规则：1. 某项活动的最早开始时间必须相同或晚于直接指向该活动的最早结束时间中的最晚时间。2. 某项活动的最迟结束时间必须相同或早于该活动直接指向的所有活动最迟开始时间的最早时间。</p>
                        <p><strong>关键链法</strong>：考虑资源的限制允许项目团队在任何项目进度路径上设置缓冲，以应对资源限制和项目的不确定性。这种方法建立在关键路径法之上，考虑了资源分配、资源优化、资源平衡和活动历时不确定性对关键路径的影响。关键链法增加了作为“非工作活动”的持续时间缓冲，用来应对不确定性。放置在关键链末端的缓冲称为项目缓冲，用来保证项目不因关键链的延误而延误。其他缓冲，即接驳缓冲，则放置在非关键链与关键链的接合点用来保护关键链不受非关键链延误的影响。</p>
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